\u201cAvrupa D\u0131\u015f \u0130li\u015fkiler Konseyi\u201d (ECFR) adl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu, abd\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a olas\u0131 askeri m\u00fcdahalesinin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na ili\u015fkin bir rapor yay\u0131mlayarak uyar\u0131larda bulundu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Berlin merkezli Avrupa D\u0131\u015f \u0130li\u015fkiler Konseyi, \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik olas\u0131 bir abd askeri m\u00fcdahalesinin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 konusunda alarm verirken, avrupa h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerinden b\u00f6lgesel ortaklar\u0131yla i\u015f birli\u011fi yaparak washington\u2019un askeri bir ad\u0131m atmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemelerini istedi. Pars Today\u2019in aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re, raporda 1979\u2019dan bu yana abd ba\u015fkanlar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrekli olarak \u201c\u0130ran \u0130slam Cumhuriyeti askeri g\u00fc\u00e7 kullan\u0131larak devrilebilir mi?\u201d sorusuyla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0130ran\u2019da son d\u00f6nemde ya\u015fanan kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131klar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Donald Trump \u201cyard\u0131m yolda\u201d iddias\u0131nda bulunmu\u015ftu; ancak nihai hedefinin ne oldu\u011fu h\u00e2l\u00e2 belirsizli\u011fini koruyor. Aral\u0131k 2025\u2019in sonlar\u0131nda protestolar\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 defalarca askeri m\u00fcdahaleyle tehdit ederken, ayn\u0131 zamanda diplomasi kap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 da a\u00e7\u0131k b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015f durumda. Son g\u00fcnlerde ise abd\u2019ye ait sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131 ve sava\u015f gemileri Bat\u0131 Asya b\u00f6lgesine konu\u015fland\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu, Afganistan, Irak, Libya ve Suriye deneyimlerine at\u0131fta bulunarak, abd ve avrupa\u2019n\u0131n bat\u0131n\u0131n n\u00fcfuz s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 ve \u0130ran\u2019la uzun s\u00fcreli bir sava\u015f\u0131n riskleri konusunda ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini vurguluyor. Raporda \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan temel endi\u015felerden biri \u201c\u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemeyen sonu\u00e7lar\u201d d\u0131r. abd\u2019nin muhtemel bir rejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi hedefiyle geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lara ba\u015flamas\u0131 durumunda, Tahran b\u00f6lgedeki amerikan g\u00fc\u00e7lerini hedef alarak bu ad\u0131m\u0131n siyasi maliyetini Trump i\u00e7in art\u0131rabilir. Ayr\u0131ca \u0130ran ordusunun b\u00f6lgedeki petrol tesislerine sald\u0131rma ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 aksatma kapasitesine sahip oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor; bu t\u00fcr bir hamlenin k\u00fcresel enerji ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 ciddi \u015fekilde y\u00fckseltebilece\u011fi ifade ediliyor. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ayn\u0131 zamanda b\u00f6lgesel m\u00fcttefik a\u011f\u0131n\u0131 harekete ge\u00e7irerek siyonist rejim de d\u00e2hil abd m\u00fcttefiklerine kar\u015f\u0131 e\u015f zamanl\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar d\u00fczenleyebilece\u011fi vurgulan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Avrupa D\u0131\u015f \u0130li\u015fkiler Konseyi raporunda, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Haziran 2025\u2019teki 12 g\u00fcnl\u00fck sava\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda bu ara\u00e7lar\u0131 kullanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, ancak varolu\u015fsal bir tehditle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalmas\u0131 h\u00e2linde t\u00fcm kapasitesini devreye sokabilece\u011fi belirtiliyor. Raporda, \u0130ran b\u00f6lgesel bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmadan zarar g\u00f6rse bile Trump\u2019\u0131n arzu etti\u011fi \u201ckesin darbeyi\u201d indirmesinin pek olas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade ediliyor. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu, son yirmi y\u0131lda benzer ko\u015fullarda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen abd askeri m\u00fcdahalelerinin \u00e7o\u011funlukla kan d\u00f6k\u00fclmesine, istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa ve ekonomik zay\u0131flamaya yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunuyor. Libya ve Suriye \u00f6rnekleri, d\u0131\u015f m\u00fcdahalelerin par\u00e7alanma ve avrupa\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00f6\u00e7 dalgalar\u0131na neden oldu\u011funa dair \u00f6rnekler olarak g\u00f6steriliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Raporda, \u0130ran\u2019da olas\u0131 bir sava\u015f\u0131n \u00e7ok daha zor olaca\u011f\u0131 vurgulan\u0131yor. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n askeri yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 12 g\u00fcnl\u00fck sava\u015fta hasar g\u00f6rmesine ra\u011fmen h\u00e2l\u00e2 b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc korudu\u011fu ve g\u00fcvenlik kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n baz\u0131 kesimlerinin, d\u0131\u015f destekli rejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi giri\u015fimlerini \u201ckutsal sava\u015f\u201d olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ifade ediliyor. Ayr\u0131ca \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n geni\u015f co\u011frafyas\u0131 ve 90 milyonu a\u015fan n\u00fcfusu, \u00fclkeyi \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f riski son derece y\u00fcksek bir yap\u0131ya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fcyor; bu da abd ya da bato\u2019nun \u0130ran\u2019da rejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi giri\u015fimini Irak ve Libya \u00f6rneklerine k\u0131yasla \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir meydan okuma h\u00e2line getiriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Raporun sonunda, artan gerilimlere ra\u011fmen b\u00f6lgedeki Arap \u00fclkeleri ile T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin, abd\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik askeri m\u00fcdahalesine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc uyar\u0131larda bulundu\u011fu belirtiliyor. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu ayr\u0131ca, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n askeri tesislerine y\u00f6nelik s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ve hedefli sald\u0131r\u0131larla Haziran 2025\u2019teki 12 g\u00fcnl\u00fck sava\u015fa benzer bir senaryonun uygulanabilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesini \u201caldat\u0131c\u0131\u201d olarak nitelendiriyor. Trump\u2019\u0131n Haziran 2025\u2019te siyonist rejimin etkisiyle \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131n\u0131 bombalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131l\u0131rken, bug\u00fcn de insan haklar\u0131 gerek\u00e7esiyle artan sald\u0131r\u0131 talepleriyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fu; bu s\u00fcrecin onu \u0130ran\u2019la bitmeyen bir askeri \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne s\u00fcr\u00fckleyebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131 yap\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u201cAvrupa D\u0131\u015f \u0130li\u015fkiler Konseyi\u201d (ECFR) adl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu, abd\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a olas\u0131 askeri m\u00fcdahalesinin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na ili\u015fkin bir rapor yay\u0131mlayarak uyar\u0131larda bulundu. Berlin merkezli Avrupa D\u0131\u015f \u0130li\u015fkiler Konseyi, \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik olas\u0131 bir abd askeri m\u00fcdahalesinin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 konusunda alarm verirken, avrupa h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerinden b\u00f6lgesel ortaklar\u0131yla i\u015f birli\u011fi yaparak washington\u2019un askeri bir ad\u0131m atmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemelerini istedi. Pars Today\u2019in aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re, …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11311,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"yes","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","h5ap_radio_sources":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11310","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-batiasya","category-dunya"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mektephaber.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11310","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mektephaber.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mektephaber.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mektephaber.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mektephaber.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11310"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.mektephaber.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11310\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11312,"href":"https:\/\/www.mektephaber.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11310\/revisions\/11312"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mektephaber.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/11311"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mektephaber.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11310"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mektephaber.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11310"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mektephaber.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11310"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}